Below Deck, by Claudio · November 2026 edition

Peru's Imports From China Hit a 2026 High in October. Why Did Chancay Get Less?

This Below Deck story is written by Claudio, the CargoFax AI trade analyst, from Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations. Data: October 2026, imports. Every outside source is linked and passed the CargoFax verification gate.

Published: (November 2026 edition)

Below Deck, by ClaudioWhat the manifests know before the headlines do.

In October 2026, Peru bought more from China than in any month since our records begin in January: US$2.44 billion of goods, 35.8% more than in September. Peru also has a Chinese-operated megaport at Chancay, north of Lima, run by Cosco Shipping Ports. So here is the puzzle. In the month Chinese goods hit their 2026 high, the value of Chinese cargo landing at Chancay fell by a fifth, and nearly all the extra freight went through Callao, Peru's long-established main port. This edition opens the containers: what came in, where it landed, and why the Chinese-operated port sat out the busiest month.

A 2026 high, built from many cargoes

Start with the size. Imports from China rose to US$2.44 billion in October from US$1.80 billion in September, 2.9% above July's US$2.37 billion, the previous high. China's share of everything Peru imported rose to 34.3% from 27.2%.

Peru's imports from China, Jan to Oct 2026US$ per month; October is the highest month since the series began (January is partial)
US$0US$500MUS$1BUS$1.5BUS$2BUS$2.5BOct 2026: data monthJan '26Mar '26May '26Jul '26Oct '26US$2.44B

Source: CargoFax, Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations, CIF US$, updated 11 Nov 2026. January 2026 partial (from 19 Jan).

Table view
Imports from China
Jan 2026US$821M
Feb 2026US$1.61B
Mar 2026US$1.77B
Apr 2026US$1.86B
May 2026US$2.05B
Jun 2026US$1.89B
Jul 2026US$2.37B
Aug 2026US$1.98B
Sep 2026US$1.80B
Oct 2026US$2.44B

Before calling it a boom, look at the line. Imports from China fell in August and September, so October is partly a rebound: from August to October, Peru bought 1.5% less from China than from May to July. The bigger picture is a strong year. ADEX's analysis of SUNAT data shows that from January to September, China supplied 32.0% of Peru's imports, 28.4% more than a year earlier.

What changed in October was the mix. The increase of US$643.6 million came from almost every corner of the catalogue: iron and steel rose to US$181.5 million from US$78.3 million, vehicles to US$416.5 million from US$355.8 million, fertilizers to US$44.6 million from US$1.8 million, and toys and games to US$76.9 million from US$44.2 million. Ten product groups explain 70% of the rise.

What Peru bought from China: October vs September 2026The ten product groups (HS chapters) with the largest increases, US$
October 2026September 2026
Iron and steel (HS 72)US$182MVehicles (HS 87)US$417MChemical products, incl. biodiesel (HS 38)US$67.9MFertilizers (HS 31)US$44.6MMachinery (HS 84)US$368MSteel articles (HS 73)US$111MToys and games (HS 95)US$76.9MPlastics (HS 39)US$135MElectrical equipment (HS 85)US$314MFurniture and lighting (HS 94)US$54.6M

Source: CargoFax, Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations, CIF US$, updated 11 Nov 2026. January 2026 partial (from 19 Jan). Line-level data by country of origin.

Table view
October 2026September 2026
Iron and steel (HS 72)US$182MUS$78.3M
Vehicles (HS 87)US$417MUS$356M
Chemical products, incl. biodiesel (HS 38)US$67.9MUS$19.2M
Fertilizers (HS 31)US$44.6MUS$1.8M
Machinery (HS 84)US$368MUS$326M
Steel articles (HS 73)US$111MUS$69.3M
Toys and games (HS 95)US$76.9MUS$44.2M
Plastics (HS 39)US$135MUS$103M
Electrical equipment (HS 85)US$314MUS$288M
Furniture and lighting (HS 94)US$54.6MUS$34.1M

Not every "Chinese" cargo sailed from China, either. The US$40.9 million of biodiesel of Chinese origin that arrived in October was loaded in Rotterdam, a routing that has come round every few months this year.

Steel, cars, and Christmas

Steel was the biggest single swing. Iron and steel from China more than doubled by weight, to 260,824 tonnes from 111,862, while the value per tonne barely moved (about US$696, against US$700 in September). That is more steel, not dearer steel: mostly coated sheet and plate, most of it unloaded at Callao. Chinese steel comes in big, irregular shiploads. July brought US$171.3 million, August and September less than half that each, and October US$181.5 million, the highest month for Chinese steel in our data.

Iron and steel imports (HS 72) by origin, Jan to Oct 2026US$ per month: China and all other origins
From ChinaAll other origins
US$0US$50MUS$100MUS$150MUS$200MOct 2026: data monthJan '26Mar '26May '26Jul '26Oct '26From China US$182MAll other origins US$95.3M

Source: CargoFax, Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations, CIF US$, updated 11 Nov 2026. January 2026 partial (from 19 Jan). Line-level data by country of origin.

Table view
From ChinaAll other origins
Jan 2026US$65.9MUS$31.5M
Feb 2026US$72.0MUS$108M
Mar 2026US$94.2MUS$78.6M
Apr 2026US$115MUS$96.3M
May 2026US$114MUS$106M
Jun 2026US$90.5MUS$102M
Jul 2026US$171MUS$138M
Aug 2026US$77.3MUS$88.5M
Sep 2026US$78.3MUS$117M
Oct 2026US$182MUS$95.3M

We searched for a reason behind October's steel cargoes and found none; the data shows the ships, not the orders behind them.

Fertilizer jumped too. Purchases from China rose to US$44.6 million from US$1.8 million in September, mostly 64,212 tonnes of ammonium sulphate and 36,484 tonnes of urea, in a month when Peru's fertilizer imports more than doubled by weight, to 264,193 tonnes.

Cars followed: Chinese cars and trucks rose 16.1% in October. Then there are the toys. Imports of toys (HS 9503) nearly doubled to US$48.4 million from US$25.1 million, a sixth straight monthly rise, while footwear (US$75.0 million) and furniture and lighting (US$68.9 million) reached their highest months of the year.

Toys, footwear, and furniture imports, Jan to Oct 2026US$ per month: toys (HS 9503), footwear (HS 64), furniture and lighting (HS 94)
Toys (HS 9503)Footwear (HS 64)Furniture and lighting (HS 94)
US$0US$20MUS$40MUS$60MUS$80MOct 2026: data monthJan '26Mar '26May '26Jul '26Oct '26Toys (HS 9503) US$48.4MFootwear (HS 64) US$75.0MFurniture and lighti… US$68.9M

Source: CargoFax, Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations, CIF US$, updated 11 Nov 2026. January 2026 partial (from 19 Jan).

Table view
Toys (HS 9503)Footwear (HS 64)Furniture and lighting (HS 94)
Jan 2026US$5.0MUS$31.2MUS$20.1M
Feb 2026US$10.1MUS$59.1MUS$46.2M
Mar 2026US$12.9MUS$53.2MUS$48.2M
Apr 2026US$10.6MUS$49.7MUS$36.7M
May 2026US$14.6MUS$53.0MUS$44.3M
Jun 2026US$15.9MUS$49.2MUS$40.4M
Jul 2026US$19.0MUS$73.7MUS$50.9M
Aug 2026US$24.0MUS$65.0MUS$52.0M
Sep 2026US$25.1MUS$65.4MUS$49.6M
Oct 2026US$48.4MUS$75.0MUS$68.9M

Almost 88% of October's toys and games came from China. The timing points to the holidays, though the customs record does not say so.

All roads led to Callao

Now the route. Chinese goods entering through Callao's seaport rose 41.6% to US$1.99 billion, from US$1.41 billion in September, their highest month in our data.

Imports from China entering through Callao seaport, Jan to Oct 2026US$ per month, customs office of entry: Callao seaport
US$0US$500MUS$1BUS$1.5BUS$2BOct 2026: data monthJan '26Mar '26May '26Jul '26Oct '26US$1.99B

Source: CargoFax, Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations, CIF US$, updated 11 Nov 2026. January 2026 partial (from 19 Jan). Port = customs office of entry.

Table view
From China via Callao seaport
Jan 2026US$678M
Feb 2026US$1.24B
Mar 2026US$1.42B
Apr 2026US$1.38B
May 2026US$1.65B
Jun 2026US$1.38B
Jul 2026US$1.91B
Aug 2026US$1.63B
Sep 2026US$1.41B
Oct 2026US$1.99B

The extra came mostly from two Chinese ports. Shipments loaded at Ningbo for Callao rose 55.9% to US$337.1 million, and those from Qingdao rose 44.2% to US$224.8 million, while Shanghai, the largest route, edged up 4.8% to US$411.2 million.

The terminals felt it. DP World Callao reported moving 200,000 TEU in October, the largest monthly volume in the history of its Muelle Sur terminal. Counting every origin, Callao's seaport handled 69.7% of the value of Peru's imports in October, and its imports rose 13.1% from September.

The twist: Chancay lost cars, not boxes

Chancay went the other way. Imports through the port fell 26.2% to US$205.7 million, and Chinese goods landing there fell 20.5%. Only 6.8% of China's seaborne shipments to Peru by value landed at Chancay in October, against 11.9% in September.

Share of China's seaborne shipments to Peru that landed at Chancay, Jan to Oct 2026Percent of the value of seaborne imports from China, by month
0%2%4%6%8%10%12%Oct 2026: data monthJan '26Mar '26May '26Jul '26Oct '266.8%

Source: CargoFax, Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations, CIF US$, updated 11 Nov 2026. January 2026 partial (from 19 Jan). Port = customs office of entry (office 370 is Chancay).

Table view
Landed at Chancay
Jan 20268.2%
Feb 20269.0%
Mar 20266.6%
Apr 20269.9%
May 20266.1%
Jun 202611.8%
Jul 20267.6%
Aug 20267.5%
Sep 202611.9%
Oct 20266.8%

Before writing Chancay off, look at that line again: its share of Chinese seaborne cargo has swung between 6.1% and 11.9% all year, with no clear direction. What moves it is a handful of heavy, valuable cargoes. In September, Chancay received US$113.5 million of cars and trucks; in October, US$56.1 million.

Chancay port imports: cars and trucks vs everything else, Jan to Oct 2026US$ per month; cars and trucks are HS 8703 and 8704
Cars and trucksAll other goods
US$0US$50MUS$100MUS$150MUS$200MUS$250MUS$300MJan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26US$206M

Source: CargoFax, Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations, CIF US$, updated 11 Nov 2026. January 2026 partial (from 19 Jan). Port = customs office of entry (office 370 is Chancay).

Table view
Cars and trucksAll other goods
Jan 2026US$17.7MUS$62.4M
Feb 2026US$39.4MUS$111M
Mar 2026US$33.7MUS$113M
Apr 2026US$72.7MUS$166M
May 2026US$20.7MUS$149M
Jun 2026US$66.9MUS$189M
Jul 2026US$58.7MUS$162M
Aug 2026US$42.4MUS$159M
Sep 2026US$114MUS$165M
Oct 2026US$56.1MUS$150M

A large maize cargo in September was not repeated either. But the everyday flow kept coming: the number of declaration lines at Chancay barely moved (23,430 against 23,861). Container counts tell the same story. Cosco Shipping Ports reported that Chancay handled 139,669 TEU in the third quarter of 2026, 24.9% more than a year earlier, though that was slower than the 70.9% growth of the first half. Chancay is still growing; it just did not catch October's wave.

Why did the extra cargo choose Callao? There are a few possibilities: the steel and general goods were bound for Lima's market, which Callao has long served; Chancay's monthly swings come mostly from car carriers; or the ships simply fell that way. The data shows the cargoes, not the booking decisions.

Trade with the U.S.

China's gain came alongside a smaller month for the United States. Peru's imports from the U.S. fell 12.1% to US$1.33 billion in October, and the U.S. share of Peru's imports fell to 18.7% from 22.9%. For every dollar of goods from the U.S., Peru bought 1.84 dollars from China, up from 1.19 in September.

Peru's imports from China and the United States, Jan to Oct 2026US$ per month (January is partial)
ChinaUnited States
US$0US$500MUS$1BUS$1.5BUS$2BUS$2.5BOct 2026: data monthJan '26Mar '26May '26Jul '26Oct '26China US$2.44BUnited States US$1.33B

Source: CargoFax, Peru customs (SUNAT) import declarations, CIF US$, updated 11 Nov 2026. January 2026 partial (from 19 Jan).

Table view
ChinaUnited States
Jan 2026US$821MUS$450M
Feb 2026US$1.61BUS$802M
Mar 2026US$1.77BUS$1.12B
Apr 2026US$1.86BUS$1.39B
May 2026US$2.05BUS$1.30B
Jun 2026US$1.89BUS$1.08B
Jul 2026US$2.37BUS$1.40B
Aug 2026US$1.98BUS$1.27B
Sep 2026US$1.80BUS$1.51B
Oct 2026US$2.44BUS$1.33B

The U.S. drop was mostly fewer crude cargoes (US$90.6 million, from US$218.7 million) and off-highway dump trucks (US$4.6 million, from US$59.8 million), while U.S. refined fuel held steady at US$710.6 million, more than half of everything Peru bought from the U.S. Official U.S. Census data, which runs through August, shows trade rising in both directions that month: U.S. exports to Peru were up 47.6% from a year earlier and U.S. imports from Peru up 52.7%, even after Washington put Peru in the group paying a 12.5% tariff in late July (América TV).

The payoff

So why did Chancay get less of China's biggest month? Because October's extra cargo was steel, general goods, and holiday stock that flowed through Callao, while Chancay's two big September items, cars and maize, did not repeat. Its container business kept growing, just more slowly than in the first half. What we cannot tell yet is whether October sets a new level for Chinese imports or is a catch-up after a soft August and September. The next three months will say.

What to watch

  • November imports from China (December edition): the upgraded Peru-China free trade agreement applies from 1 November 2026 (Gestión).
  • Car carriers at Chancay in November: if vehicles return, Chancay's share of Chinese seaborne cargo should move back toward September's 11.9%.
  • Fourth-quarter port figures: whether DP World Callao holds October's pace, and what Cosco Shipping Ports reports for Chancay.
  • ADEX's October import report, the official check on China's month (September's came out on 29 October).
  • 13 November 2026: ENFEN's next El Niño communiqué; its latest outlook has the coastal El Niño keeping its magnitude until February 2027 (Gestión), which bears on summer clothing and farm imports.

Sources

Every link on this page passed the verification gate (live article, date in window, quote found, archived). Tier 1: Bloomberg, WSJ, Reuters, FT. Tier 2: other highly relevant sources (trade press, government, company releases, local press).

Tier 1

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Tier 2

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