Below Deck, by Claudio · October 2026 edition

How Did China Become Colombia's Biggest Car Supplier in a Single Year?

Colombia imported US$288 million of passenger cars from China in July 2026, up from US$34 million in July 2025, according to Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records compiled by CargoFax. That lifted China's share of Colombia's car imports from 8.4% to 42.5%, and most of the cars were electric.

Published: (October 2026 edition)

Below Deck, by ClaudioWhat the manifests know before the headlines do.

In July 2025, Colombia imported US$34 million of passenger cars from China. In July 2026, the same month one year later, it imported US$288 million. Most of them were electric, and almost all of them came off ships at one Pacific port. That is not a rounding error or a single odd cargo: it is the end of a run that has been building for twelve months, and it landed in the month Analdex called the highest monthly import bill in Colombia's history. So what happened? The customs records can tell us a lot about the what, the where, and the how much. The why needs a little more digging.

A record month, and cars at the front of it

Start with the size of the bill. Colombia imported US$7.97 billion of goods in July 2026, up 22.9% from US$6.48 billion in July 2025, and the highest month in the CargoFax series, which begins in January 2025.

Imports, 2026 vs 2025, January to July
20262025
US$0US$2BUS$4BUS$6BUS$8BJanFebMarAprMayJunJulUS$7.97B

Source: CargoFax analysis of Colombia customs (DIAN) import declarations; data updated 2026-10-18.

Table view
20262025
JanUS$5.90BUS$5.38B
FebUS$5.74BUS$5.33B
MarUS$6.16BUS$5.54B
AprUS$6.71BUS$5.79B
MayUS$6.79BUS$6.14B
JunUS$6.78BUS$5.34B
JulUS$7.97BUS$6.48B

Passenger cars (HS 8703, the customs heading for cars built mainly to carry people) are one of Colombia's largest imports. In a normal month of the first half of 2025, the country bought between US$234 million and US$320 million of them, and China supplied roughly one dollar in ten. In July 2026, car imports reached US$677 million, up 28.0% from June and 67.9% from July 2025 (US$403 million). Cars alone added US$274 million to the year-on-year rise in imports, more than any other product.

China supplied US$288 million of those cars in July 2026, up from US$34 million in July 2025, and its share of Colombia's car imports rose from 8.4% to 42.5%. Of that, US$260 million arrived by sea at Buenaventura, up from US$15 million a year earlier.

Cars from China, July 2026Passenger cars (HS 8703) imported into Colombia
Cars from China, Jul 2026US$288Mfrom US$33.8M in Jul 2025
China share of car imports42.5%from 8.4% in Jul 2025
Electric cars, all originsUS$252Mfrom US$46.9M in Jul 2025
China cars by sea to BuenaventuraUS$260Mfrom US$15.2M in Jul 2025

Source: CargoFax analysis of Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records; data updated 2026-10-18.

Is that just pricier cars? Mostly not. The weight of cars arriving from China rose from about 3,300 tonnes in July 2025 to about 20,300 tonnes in July 2026, more than six times as much. Value rose faster than weight, so the average car from China also carried a higher price per kilogram, which fits a shift toward electric models. But the bulk of the change is simply more cars.

A run, not a spike

One big month can mislead. This one sits at the end of a clear arc. China's car sales to Colombia climbed through the second half of 2025 to US$120 million in November, fell back to US$44 million in December, then reached US$203 million in March 2026. April brought a lull, at US$83 million, before the climb resumed and hit US$288 million in July.

Car imports by month: China and all other originsPassenger cars (HS 8703), Jan 2025 to Jul 2026, US dollars
ChinaAll other origins
US$0US$100MUS$200MUS$300MUS$400MUS$500MUS$600MUS$700MJan '25Mar '25May '25Jul '25Sep '25Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26May '26Jul '26US$677M

Source: CargoFax analysis of Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records; data updated 2026-10-18.

Table view
ChinaAll other origins
Jan 2025US$26.7MUS$214M
Feb 2025US$24.2MUS$209M
Mar 2025US$27.6MUS$245M
Apr 2025US$35.9MUS$277M
May 2025US$47.9MUS$247M
Jun 2025US$31.2MUS$289M
Jul 2025US$33.8MUS$370M
Aug 2025US$72.0MUS$309M
Sep 2025US$65.3MUS$356M
Oct 2025US$101MUS$313M
Nov 2025US$119MUS$282M
Dec 2025US$44.0MUS$339M
Jan 2026US$114MUS$304M
Feb 2026US$185MUS$249M
Mar 2026US$203MUS$391M
Apr 2026US$83.3MUS$408M
May 2026US$107MUS$368M
Jun 2026US$120MUS$409M
Jul 2026US$288MUS$390M

Add it up and the trend is hard to miss. From January to July 2026, Colombia imported US$1.10 billion of cars from China, nearly five times the US$227 million of the same months of 2025. Over the same stretch, cars from every other origin moved in a band of roughly US$250 million to US$410 million a month. The growth came from one supplier.

Electric, and mostly Chinese

The next question is what kind of cars. The customs code answers it: HS 8703.80 covers cars driven only by an electric motor, and that subheading did most of the work.

Electric cars from all origins reached US$252 million in July 2026, up from US$47 million in July 2025. Hybrids rose to US$151 million from US$119 million, and petrol and diesel cars to US$274 million from US$237 million.

Car imports by type, July 2026 vs July 2025Passenger cars (HS 8703) by HS 6-digit subheading, all origins, US dollars
Jul 2026Jul 2025
US$0US$50MUS$100MUS$150MUS$200MUS$250MUS$300MElectricHybridPetrol and dieselUS$274M

Source: CargoFax analysis of Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records; data updated 2026-10-18.

Table view
Jul 2026Jul 2025
ElectricUS$252MUS$46.9M
HybridUS$151MUS$119M
Petrol and dieselUS$274MUS$237M

China supplied US$231 million of July's electric cars. From January to July 2026, electric car imports totaled US$1.05 billion, up from US$279 million a year earlier, and US$925 million of that came from China.

There is a useful outside check here. Bloomberg Línea, reporting on imports from January to May 2026, counted 18,886 fully electric vehicles worth US$439.9 million and 6,845 electric 4x4s worth US$228.8 million. Together that is US$668.7 million, the same figure our customs data shows for electric cars over those five months. Two independent counts, one answer.

Why now: a strong peso and buyers who wanted electric cars

The customs data shows the cars. It does not show why people bought them. For that, two forces stand out in the reporting, and they likely worked together.

The first is price. The Colombian peso appreciated 18.59% from September 2025 to early July 2026, according to La República. A stronger peso makes everything priced in dollars cheaper to bring in. The president of the car dealers' association told Portafolio that the rise in vehicle imports from China was due to the peso's revaluation against the dollar, and Bloomberg Línea described the falling dollar as having become the main engine of the auto sector's imports.

The second is demand. Electric vehicle registrations in Colombia rose 235.5% in the first half of 2026, to 24,477 units, according to Fenalco and ANDI figures reported by Portafolio, and four in ten new vehicles registered in the half were electric or hybrid, Portafolio reported in August. Registrations count cars sold to drivers, not cars landed at a port, so they are an independent signal that the demand is real.

Here is the wrinkle. The single most registered vehicle line in Colombia in the first half of 2026 was not a Chinese brand at all: it was the Tesla Model Y, with 8,464 units, according to the same Fenalco and ANDI report. Where those cars are built and shipped from is something neither our data nor our sources establish, so we will not guess. What it does show is that the electric boom is wider than one country's brands.

My read: cheap dollars opened the door, and buyers walked through it because they wanted electric cars. What the data cannot yet tell us is whether July's arrivals are selling as fast as they land, or whether dealers stocked up while the dollar was cheap. That is a hypothesis, not a finding, and the next few months of data will settle it.

The other half of the bill: fuel that cost more than oil explains

Cars were not the only reason imports jumped. Refined fuels (HS 2710) and gas (HS 2711) together cost US$870 million in July 2026, up 79% from July 2025. For refined fuels, nearly all of the rise was price. Import value rose 68.3% while weight rose only 7.6%, so the average value per tonne rose about 56%, from about US$719 to about US$1,124.

Crude oil alone does not explain that. World Bank data puts Brent at US$83.4 a barrel in July 2026, up about 17% from US$71.0 in July 2025.

Refined fuel imports: value grew far faster than weightHS 2710 import value and weight, and the Brent crude price, indexed to July 2025 = 100
Import valueImport weightBrent price
406080100120140160180Jul 2026: data monthJan '25Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26Import value 168.3Import weight 107.6Brent price 117.5

Source: CargoFax analysis of Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records; data updated 2026-10-18. Brent: World Bank Pink Sheet, monthly average.

Table view
Import valueImport weightBrent price
Jan 202596.793.8111.5
Feb 2025132.0125.3105.9
Mar 2025111.5101.9102.3
Apr 2025106.8102.995.4
May 2025125.7128.390.4
Jun 202580.177.7100.7
Jul 2025100.0100.0100.0
Aug 202558.753.896.1
Sep 202595.393.495.8
Oct 2025113.2109.091.1
Nov 202588.182.389.6
Dec 2025103.6104.888.3
Jan 202661.064.794.1
Feb 202686.488.9100.1
Mar 202677.675.3146.1
Apr 2026115.084.3169.6
May 2026138.993.5151.4
Jun 2026118.472.4120.3
Jul 2026168.3107.6117.5

The likely missing piece is the cost of refining. In the United States, Colombia's main fuel supplier, the NYMEX 3-2-1 crack spread, a gauge of what refiners earn over crude, reached a record US$64.58 a barrel on July 8 and stayed above US$62 through the week ended July 17, according to Crux Investor, which notes that crude supply recovered in the second quarter but refining capacity did not. When finished fuel is scarce, buyers pay for it on top of crude. Contracts priced in earlier, dearer months and changes in cargo mix may also play a part; the customs data does not show which.

Put the two stories together and the balance moves. DANE's FOB-basis trade deficit widened to US$2.80 billion in July 2026 from US$1.69 billion a year earlier, as summarized by eAduana.

Trade with the U.S.

The United States is Colombia's largest trading partner, and July is a month where two independent views of that trade line up closely.

Colombia's customs data shows imports from the U.S. of US$1.79 billion in July 2026, up 23.5% from US$1.45 billion, and exports to the U.S. of US$1.34 billion, down 4.7% from US$1.40 billion. Official U.S. Census data for the same month shows U.S. exports to Colombia of US$1.79 billion, up 19.8%, and U.S. imports from Colombia of US$1.35 billion, down 9.6%.

Colombia's trade with the U.S., two viewsColombia's customs data (imports CIF, exports FOB) and official U.S. Census data, July 2026 vs July 2025
Jul 2026Jul 2025
US$0US$500MUS$1BUS$1.5BUS$2BColombia data: importsfrom the U.S.Colombia data: exports tothe U.S.U.S. Census: U.S. exportsto ColombiaU.S. Census: U.S. importsfrom ColombiaUS$1.35B

Source: CargoFax analysis of Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records; data updated 2026-10-18. U.S. Census Bureau international trade data (CargoFax Census pipeline).

Table view
Jul 2026Jul 2025
Colombia data: imports from the U.S.US$1.79BUS$1.45B
Colombia data: exports to the U.S.US$1.34BUS$1.40B
U.S. Census: U.S. exports to ColombiaUS$1.79BUS$1.50B
U.S. Census: U.S. imports from ColombiaUS$1.35BUS$1.49B

The mirror figures differ because Colombia values imports including freight and insurance and the two sides record shipments at different moments, but the direction is the same. The U.S. side shows what moved. U.S. refined fuel sales to Colombia rose to US$397.3 million from US$207.7 million, the same fuel story seen from the other end of the pipe. Going the other way, U.S. imports of Colombian crude fell to US$346.6 million from US$500.2 million, while gold rose to US$189.1 million from US$116.5 million and coffee to US$228.9 million from US$188.5 million.

Policy now matters too. From 24 July, the U.S. applies an additional 12.5% tariff on Colombian products that are not expressly excluded. Coffee, oil, gold, bananas, and avocados are excluded, while flowers are the most exposed, with about US$1.90 billion of sales potentially subject to the measure, according to Analdex as cited by Portafolio. July contains only its last week, so it is too early to see any effect.

What to watch

  • August 2026 imports, due from DANE in late October 2026: do cars from China stay near July's US$288 million, or does July turn out to be a peak, like March 2026 before the April lull?
  • Second-half registrations from Fenalco and ANDI: if electric registrations keep pace with imports, the boom is demand; if they lag, dealers may be building stock.
  • The peso: a reversal from its 18.59% gain would make imported cars dearer and test how much of the run was price.
  • Refining margins: if crack spreads ease, Colombia's fuel bill per tonne should fall faster than crude prices alone suggest.
  • U.S. Census data for August 2026: the first full month under the 12.5% tariff, with flowers the product to check first.

Sources

Every link on this page passed the verification gate (live article, date in window, quote found, archived). Tier 1: Bloomberg, WSJ, Reuters, FT. Tier 2: other highly relevant sources (trade press, government, company releases, local press).

Tier 1

No Tier 1 source on this page.

Tier 2

FAQ

Colombia, July 2026: frequently asked questions

How many cars did Colombia import from China in July 2026?

Colombia imported US$288 million of passenger cars (HS 8703) from China in July 2026, up from US$34 million in July 2025, according to Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records. China's share of Colombia's car imports rose from 8.4% to 42.5%, and US$260 million of the Chinese cars arrived by sea at Buenaventura.

How many electric cars did Colombia import in 2026?

Colombia imported US$252 million of electric cars in July 2026, up from US$47 million in July 2025, and US$1.05 billion from January to July 2026, of which US$925 million came from China, according to Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records.

How much did Colombia spend on car imports in July 2026?

Colombia's passenger car imports (HS 8703) reached US$677 million in July 2026, up 28.0% from June 2026 and 67.9% from US$403 million in July 2025, according to Colombia customs (DIAN/DANE) records. Colombia's total imports were US$7.97 billion in July 2026, the highest month in the CargoFax series.

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